Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Afternoon Arugula

Nate’s models now have Obama winning the election over 90% of the time. The average EV count is 345. The only close battleground state is North Carolina, where Obama was down by 20 points just under two months ago.


Nate also has some sobering thoughts on Obama’s ceiling. In other words, don’t expect him to keep rising in the polls, because that’s nearly impossible at this point. Consequently, statistics basically guarantees that McCain might gain a little back, so don’t fret on that!


Matt has a great explanation of why renegotiating bad mortgages is better than letting the “market” take care of the glut of these things and discusses why deficit spending during financial crisis can head off a worse recession. Matt is really smart.


From Ezra: “A steady hand on the tiller is the sort of thing that would have made more sense a couple generations ago. Sort of like John McCain's candidacy.” Oh, smack! He just said, "You’re old," John McCain.


Ben has a run down of advertising expenditures.


Hacking into Sarah Palin's e-mail was easy, apparently.


Andrew starts thinking landslide and has David Brooks calling Palin a "cancer" to the republican party.

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