Friday, March 21, 2008

Handicapping the Richardson Endorsement

He couldn't have done this before OH/TX?!  With that out of my system ...

I actually think there's a positive interpretation to the Obama camp rolling out this endorsement now.  I've heard folks say that Richardson's cred in the Latino community beyond his home state is questionable, so maybe the impact on TX's strong Latino community would have been minimal.  Plus, given the fact that it seemed like the Gov was leaning in the Obama direction for a while, the endorsement was sort of like keeping "one in the chamber" in case some stuff went down.  And stuff decidedly went down.

So, while not positioning this endorsement before some states where Richardson's voice might have had a bigger impact, this timing actually demonstrates how remarkable the Obama campaign functions vis-a-vis long-term strategy.  I think that as much as anything else bodes well for a presidency.  Especially given the recent talk about McCain's lack of vision at TPM (http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/184584.php) and elsewhere.

-Education Dude

1 comment:

Dude said...

I think Richardson/Obama took a gamble that failed. Richardson was on record pre-OH/TX that if Hillary lost either, she should drop out. I think he was gambling that Obama wouldn’t need his help with Hispanics- and that after Obama won one of the states, Richardson could put the nail in the coffin with the endorsement.

I'm not sure how much the endorsement helps now- if the endorsement is targeted at superdelegates, I doubt many will declare their support before the results of the next round of primaries. Richardson should have waited until Obama lost in PA, and then endorsed- blunting the momentum that Hillary will get from what’s looking to be a sizable victory in that state.

-Law Dude