Morning Hors D'oeuvres

Charlie Cook thinks it will take a massive, massive event to change the dynamics at this point.

Nate revisits the Bradley Effect, just for good measure.

The NYTimes has a compendium of former McCain strategist Mike Murphy’s criticisms.

Marc looks at early voting in Georgia and explains why that AP poll calling the race a tie is flawed.

Ta-Nehisi realizes that the real Joe the Plumber incident makes Obama look great.

TPM and HuffPo have Chuck Todd railing on the McCain campaign.

Blumenthal’s morning update has Obama moving positively for the fourth consecutive day. I still think it will tighten. TPM’s morning round up catches the new Quinnipiac polls which have Obama up in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. The Ohio numbers look too good to be true, so they probably are.

This WaPo analysis of their latest numbers has nothing interesting to say, except I want to give them props for what I hope is a Spinal Tap reference in the title. E-mail me if you know how to get an umlaut over the “n” in HTML.