Friday, September 19, 2008
Morning Schmorgasbord
Ben realizes there may be some hypocrisy in McCain accusing Obama of cheerleading the crisis.
Ambers tries to get to the bottom of whether McCain really hates Spain and aggregates the battleground polls. Plus, McCain's terrible, horrible, no good, very bad week.
Nate tracks a HUGE swing back to Obama in their projection model and examines the increasing possibility of an electoral college tie.
Palin has gone from most to least popular national ticket member in the last week.
And if you're in PA, make sure to help the living members of the Dead support Obama!
Thursday, September 18, 2008
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Afternoon Arugula
Ambers thinks the McCain campaign is the McCain campaign's worst enemy. He also thinks that the race is returning to something more familiar, except for the fact that:
the Obama campaign will have a massive resource advantage in each state it contests. In past elections, Democrats have had to pull together GOTV operations on the fly as if cramming for the final; this cycle, their field teams are extravagant and efficient. These are multiplier machines, and they're already turned on, culling, identifying and persuading tens of thousands of new voters.
Ambers also reminds us that campaigns aren't won by figuring out how to get the most electoral votes ... they're won by following the path that provides the highest probability of getting 270 of them.
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
When McCain Says "Fundamentals of Our Economy," He Means Puppies. Ergo, Obama Hates Puppies!!!!
Yesterday, I'd give McCain an A for taking one for the team. Sure, the fundamentals of our economy don't look super strong when 3 of the 5 largest investment banks implode over a weekend. But, markets are cyclical, and maybe trying to garner investor confidence is the best way to turn the corner.
But clearly, such unbridled optimism plays into Obama's "McCain is out of touch" argument.
So what's a Karl Rove-inspired campaign to do? Simple. Redefine "fundamentals of our economy." McCain:
Well it’s obviously true that the workers of America are the fundamentals of our economy, and our strength and our future. And I believe in the American worker, and someone who disagrees with that – it’s fine.
Now next time Obama criticizes McCain for saying the "fundamentals of our economy are strong," he's not saying that McCain is out of touch-- he's saying that the American worker is weak! And did you know that Obama sometimes doesn't wear a flag pin?!?! And he probably hates puppies, too!
Thanks for the Straight Talk, John.
-Law Dude
Monday, September 15, 2008
Fareed to U.S. Foreign Policy: Chill Out
Fareed Zakaria speaks truth:
It's also worth noting that since World War II, the United States has tended to make its strategic missteps by exaggerating dangers. During the 1950s, conservatives argued that Dwight Eisenhower was guilty of appeasement because he was willing to contain rather than roll back communism. The paranoia about communism helped fuel McCarthyism at home and support for dubious regimes abroad. John Kennedy chose to outflank Richard Nixon on the right by arguing that there was a dangerous missile gap between the Soviets and the United States (when in fact the United States had almost 20,000 missiles and the Soviets had fewer than 2,000). The 1970s brought a frenzied argument that the Soviet Union was surpassing the United States militarily and was about to "Finlandize" Europe. The reality, of course, was that when neoconservatives were arguing that the U.S.S.R. was about to conquer the world, it was on the verge of collapse.
Don't get me wrong, the pure evil label may fit some of our enemies (see Al Qaeda; the Taliban). But when prioritizing responses to threats and less clear-cut adversaries (see Putinized Russia; China), some nuance can go a long way.
-Law Dude
Saturday, September 13, 2008
Weekend Caviar
- Mugatu
NYTimes Editorial board had a crazy pill moment themselves today:
What made it so much worse is the strategy for which the Republicans have made Ms. Palin the frontwoman: win the White House not on ideas, but by denigrating experience, judgment and qualifications.
Obama campaign, how bout using some of this for a new campaign commercial?
-Law Dude
Friday, September 12, 2008
The Toes Are Slipping Over the Line
McCain’s new ads are the kind of stuff most people will dismiss now, saying things like, “Yeah, this is pretty rough, but it’s a national campaign.”
But in a few years, we’ll look back and say, “Holy shit, that was straight up race baiting.”
Afternoon Arugula
Fallows has the best take on the Palin interview, methinks. I’ll ruin the money shot for you, but you must read the whole thing to appreciate the argument:
“What Sarah Palin revealed is that she has not been interested enough in world affairs to become minimally conversant with the issues.”
The best speculation yet on the Obama-Clinton meeting.
Barack Obama: Shadow President. I think Sullivan is right on this, just another example of how good Obama’s judgment is.
He also eviscerates Kristol. I might start an official “Andrew-Sullivan-spontaneously-combusting” watch.
TPM looks at what Palin’s earmarks look like when scaled nationally. It’s a good thing she has never asked for them, according to her running mate.
Matt’s waiting for the “liar” narrative too. Seriously, guys, he keeps lying. Sullivan isn't nuts.
The weird earmark war.
Klein finds out that even McCain’s top economic advisor admits that McCain will raise taxes.
And the hardest hitting news team on television finally takes McCain to task.
Gloves Off
Please Stay Healthy, McCain....
If Bush followed the original, we'd have had enough troops in Afghanistan to secure the country and wouldn't have hundreds of thousands of troops tied up in Iraq, thereby giving us greater flexibility (and moral authority) to deal with Al-Qaeda members operating out of the tribal regions of Pakistan.
Given that the original Bush Doctrine was a pretty good idea, it's sad that Palin's handlers forgot to tell her about it.
PS- If Palin had made substantive foreign policy statements prior to being nominated, I would not assume that most of her foreign policy positions are simply regurgitations of what McCain's advisers are telling her to say.
-Law Dude
Thursday, September 11, 2008
New Idea for an Obama Ad
Cut to video of Palin asking "What exactly does the VP do?"
Follow that with a fast-paced photo montage of a cavemen riding a dinosaur, a price tag on a rape kit, a bridge to nowhere, a plane listing on eBay, and a baby seal flopping around on a bunch of hundred dollar bills, a la Demi Moore in "Indecent Proposal."
"I'm Barack Obama and I approved this message."
Game changer.
Dear Obama, Please Hire Matt Damon
-Law Dude
More on That Obama-Clinton Lunch

Also, we learn this important nugget:
The lunch menu, according to the campaign, was a choice of sandwiches and flatbread pizza from Cosi, plus salad. Beverages were not specified.
DAMNIT!!! Tell me what they f'ing drank!!!
-Education Dude
Afternoon Arugula
You know how some folks ask, “If you could have been in one place in history, where would it have been?” Some say on the grassy knoll, others the birth of Jesus. Here’s my new one.
New Blog! Phil Singer wants McCain to remember times he disagreed with Bush. Crickets …
Ezra doesn’t think all bad ideas are created equal but that “more of the same” is one of them.
He also ponders the structural nature of elections … should make us more confident!
Matt considers the metaphysics of calling oneself a serious person. Seriously.
I’m a little afraid that Sullivan is going to explode.
Prediction … we’ll be talking about seal DNA within 48 hours.
Wednesday, September 10, 2008
Afternoon Arugula
Sullivan longs for Putin as his last shred of respect for McCain evaporates.
Matt liked the Obama education speech, too.
Will saying there’s backlash really cause a backlash?? Let’s see!
Sam Stein to John McCain: “Don’t go there.”
Fallows gets in on this week’s extensive bout of media navel-gazing.
Nate has a very unique take on the outrage du jour. Today’s most interesting read.
Also, news flash! Progressives got cable! NPR to announce 24 cable news channel featuring Diane Rheem topless …
The Non-issue Issue
Although I haven’t seen the question asked yet in this cycle, in general fewer than 10 percent of voters say that they’d vote for/against a presidential candidate solely because of their educational views in past elections. In other words people say they care about it but they don’t vote it in national elections. In addition, this year in different ways the issue works against each candidate at least as much as it works for them.
To be honest, I don't even vote on education alone, and I'm arguably an education reform crusader.
-Education Dude
Morning Hors D'oeuvres
This lipstick thing is insane … I really hope the rest of this campaign isn’t dominated by tiptoeing around racial/gender “micro-aggressions." They've found something more distasteful than outright dishonesty ... way to go!
Ambers has some theories as to why we accept lying from candidates.
Matt thinks that post-defeat Dems would rather play the blame game than fight a Rep president and longs for a cable TV host that won’t shit the bed during important exchanges.
Paul Begala reminds us that facts aren’t debatable.
Tuesday, September 9, 2008
Afternoon Arugula
Kinsley on what Palin seems to mean by "fiscal conservative."
Dissecting the Palin expense report file.
Klein looks at inequality and voting responding to Frum’s NYTimes Mag piece and wonders if the international community will be put off by the McCain camp’s saber rattling.
And Bob Herbert joins our crusade to take back the word “liberal!” I read this column while dipping my afternoon arugula in a grande latte, but I spilled some on myself, because I had to swerve to avoid hitting a small woodland creature with my used Volvo that runs on good feelings for poor people.
David Plotz has nailed something scary, but true.